The Rising Report #3 – Election Won, Policy Locked: How Labor’s 5% Deposit Scheme Will Reshape Entry Level Demand

Published:

12/05/2025

Following Labor’s decisive victory in the 2025 federal election, the government has confirmed the uncapped, universal rollout of its expanded 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers.

 

This landmark policy change eliminates Lenders Mortgage Insurance and removes previous eligibility caps, opening the door for a flood of demand in the entry level housing market.

 

For investors, this represents a structural demand shift that cannot be ignored.

 

 

The New Policy: A Fully Expanded First Home Guarantee

 

As of January 2026, all eligible first home buyers across Australia will be able to purchase a property with only a 5% deposit, without paying LMI.

 

Under the previous First Home Guarantee, eligibility was limited by income thresholds and relationship status. These restrictions have now been removed entirely.

 

 

Key Elements of the Confirmed Scheme:

 

  • Deposit Requirement: 5% (minimum)
  • LMI: Waived
  • Eligibility: All first home buyers, regardless of income or marital status
  • Property Type: New or established, within existing regional price caps
  • Place Limits: None (the scheme is now uncapped)

 

This policy shift is not a temporary pilot.

 

It is a nationwide guarantee, backed by the full legislative weight of Labor’s election mandate.

 

 

Official Scheme Breakdown – Albanese Government Table

 

Albanese Government’s official media release (April 2025):

 

Region New Property Price Cap
NSW – capital city/regional centre AUD 1,500,000
NSW – other AUD 800,000
VIC – capital city/regional centre AUD 950,000
VIC – other AUD 650,000
QLD – capital city/regional centre AUD 1,000,000
QLD – other AUD 700,000
WA – capital city AUD 850,000
WA – other AUD 600,000
SA – capital city AUD 900,000
SA – other AUD 500,000
TAS – capital city AUD 700,000
TAS – other AUD 550,000
ACT AUD 1,000,000
NT AUD 600,000

 

 

These updated limits significantly increase purchase power for eligible first home buyers and alter market access across major and regional centres.

 

 

Comparison: Labor’s Scheme vs All Current Grants & Incentives (May 2025)

 

Scheme Deposit Required Government Support LMI Waived? Income Cap Relationship Rules Coverage
Labor’s 5% Deposit Guarantee 5% LMI waived (no cash) Yes None None Nationwide, uncapped
First Home Owner Grant (NSW) 5%+ $10,000 (new homes only) No None None NSW only
Stamp Duty Exemption (VIC) 5%+ Full exemption < $600k; concession < $750k No Yes No VIC only
Help to Buy (Federal Shared Equity) 2%+ Up to 40% equity contribution Yes $90k (single), $120k (couple) Yes 10,000 place cap
First Home Super Saver Scheme 5%+ Withdraw up to $50,000 from super No None None Nationwide
QLD First Home Concession 5%+ Up to ~$15,925 stamp duty exemption No None None QLD only
SA First Home Owner Grant 5%+ $15,000 (new homes only) No None None SA only
WA First Home Owner Grant 5%+ $10,000 + stamp duty discounts No None None WA only

 

 

What This Means for Investors

 

With no caps on eligibility or places, first home buyer activity will expand into markets that have long been dominated by investors.

 

Sub $1.5m segments, especially in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, and ACT, will face intensified pressure.

 

Investor Implications:

  • Entry Level Stock Under Pressure: Price growth likely in FHB targeted brackets
  • Owner Occupier Competition: More demand for established homes under $1m~$1.5m
  • Rent to Own Conversions: Reduced rental pool as FHBs exit tenancy
  • Repricing of Fringe Stock: Growth in outer metro areas now within reach of subsidised demand

 

 

Macro Drivers: Why This Is a Structural Change

 

  • RBA Direction: Further rate cuts likely early mid 2026 may amplify already growing demand
  • Migration: Population growth driven by strong immigration (>300,000/year)
  • Construction Shortfall: Persistent dwelling approval deficit
  • State Level Friction:
    • NSW: Density reform push
    • VIC: Rental regulatory tightening
    • QLD: SEQ infrastructure boom

 

 

Investor Strategy for 2025–2026

 

With the policy locked in and operational from January 2026, investors must pre emptively position ahead of Q4 2025 activity.

 

Recommended Moves:

 

  • Avoid FHB Target Zones: Prices will be bid up
  • Shift to Mid Market or High Yield Regional: Seek underserved rental markets
  • Land Banking & Duplexes: Capture buyers below regional caps
  • De risk through Asset Class Diversification: Spread exposure beyond entry level houses

 

 

Conclusion

This is no longer a proposed policy, it’s legislated, uncapped, and significantly expanded.

With new price caps as high as $1.5 million, first home buyer power is being structurally repositioned.

Investors must now adjust strategy to compete in an increasingly owner occupier led market.

 

 

Next Step: Speak With a Strategic Property Advisor

At Rising Returns we specialise in helping investors navigate market cycles with precision.

 

Whether you are planning your next portfolio move, assessing property purchases, or reviewing your buyer’s agency agreement, our team can help you make the right decisions in a fast shifting market.

 

📞 Call us now or book a strategy session online to take advantage of this new policy landscape before competition intensifies.

 

Discover more Posts

Discover the latest News & Research from Rising Returns

The Australian property market is poised for a transformative phase, propelled by the RBA's recent...
Australia’s latest elections are putting housing in the spotlight. Western Australia’s state election in March...